Africa's Bearing Market to Reach 160K Tons and $3.1B by 2035 - News and Statistics - IndexBox

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IndexBox has just published a new report: Africa - Ball and Roller Bearings - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

The article highlights the expected growth in demand for bearings in Africa, with a forecasted CAGR of +0.8% in market volume and +1.1% in market value from 2024 to 2035. By the end of 2035, the market is projected to reach 160K tons in volume and $3.1B in value, reflecting a positive trend in consumption and market performance.

Driven by rising demand for bearing in Africa, the market is expected to start an upward consumption trend over the next decade. The performance of the market is forecast to increase slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of +0.8% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market volume to 160K tons by the end of 2035.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +1.1% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market value to $3.1B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2035.

In 2024, consumption of ball and roller bearings decreased by -8.7% to 147K tons, falling for the third consecutive year after six years of growth. In general, consumption continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The volume of consumption peaked at 201K tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2024, consumption remained at a lower figure.

The revenue of the bearing market in Africa dropped modestly to $2.7B in 2024, shrinking by -4.4% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, consumption, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $2.9B. From 2018 to 2024, the growth of the market failed to regain momentum.

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2024 were Kenya (44K tons), Ghana (26K tons) and Angola (18K tons), together comprising 60% of total consumption. Nigeria, Sierra Leone, South Africa, Gambia, Botswana and Algeria lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 25%.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the key consuming countries, was attained by Sierra Leone (with a CAGR of +5.5%), while consumption for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest bearing markets in Africa were Kenya ($874M), Ghana ($508M) and Angola ($363M), together accounting for 64% of the total market. Sierra Leone, Gambia, South Africa, Nigeria, Botswana and Algeria lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 25%.

Sierra Leone, with a CAGR of +5.4%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to market size in terms of the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of bearing per capita consumption in 2024 were Gambia (1,561 kg per 1000 persons), Botswana (1,390 kg per 1000 persons) and Sierra Leone (1,157 kg per 1000 persons).

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the leading consuming countries, was attained by Sierra Leone (with a CAGR of +3.4%), while consumption for the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the per capita consumption figures.

In 2024, the amount of ball and roller bearings produced in Africa fell slightly to 99K tons, flattening at the previous year's figure. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% over the period from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 19% against the previous year. As a result, production reached the peak volume of 121K tons. From 2018 to 2024, production growth failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, bearing production declined modestly to $2B in 2024 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +1.0% from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the production volume increased by 22% against the previous year. As a result, production attained the peak level of $2.3B. From 2018 to 2024, production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2024 were Kenya (42K tons), Ghana (23K tons) and Angola (17K tons), with a combined 82% share of total production. Sierra Leone, Gambia and Botswana lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 18%.

From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Sierra Leone (with a CAGR of +5.5%), while production for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2024, purchases abroad of ball and roller bearings decreased by -20.8% to 50K tons, falling for the third consecutive year after five years of growth. In general, imports recorded a noticeable decline. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 with an increase of 55% against the previous year. The volume of import peaked at 101K tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2024, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, bearing imports declined to $592M in 2024. Overall, imports, however, continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when imports increased by 19%. Over the period under review, imports attained the maximum at $613M in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, imports remained at a lower figure.

In 2024, Nigeria (12K tons), distantly followed by South Africa (6.7K tons), Algeria (3.2K tons) and Ghana (3K tons) were the largest importers of ball and roller bearings, together mixing up 49% of total imports. Tanzania (2.2K tons), Morocco (2.1K tons), Kenya (2.1K tons), Zimbabwe (1.8K tons), Ethiopia (1.6K tons) and Angola (1.6K tons) took a relatively small share of total imports.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the key importing countries, was attained by Kenya (with a CAGR of +14.0%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, South Africa ($206M) constitutes the largest market for imported ball and roller bearings in Africa, comprising 35% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Nigeria ($41M), with a 6.9% share of total imports. It was followed by Morocco, with a 5.8% share.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of value in South Africa was relatively modest. The remaining importing countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Nigeria (-5.2% per year) and Morocco (+2.7% per year).

The import price in Africa stood at $11,766 per ton in 2024, picking up by 24% against the previous year. Overall, the import price continues to indicate a notable increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when the import price increased by 86%. As a result, import price reached the peak level of $14,142 per ton. From 2015 to 2024, the import prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was South Africa ($30,869 per ton), while Nigeria ($3,464 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Nigeria (+7.2%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Bearing exports contracted to 2.3K tons in 2024, with a decrease of -5.2% compared with 2023. Over the period under review, exports showed a noticeable decrease. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when exports increased by 37% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports attained the maximum at 2.9K tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2024, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, bearing exports declined slightly to $54M in 2024. In general, exports continue to indicate a mild shrinkage. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when exports increased by 21% against the previous year. The level of export peaked at $62M in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2024, the exports remained at a lower figure.

South Africa prevails in exports structure, reaching 1.9K tons, which was approx. 83% of total exports in 2024. It was distantly followed by Gambia (105 tons), generating a 4.6% share of total exports. Zambia (68 tons) held a relatively small share of total exports.

Exports from South Africa decreased at an average annual rate of -2.2% from 2013 to 2024. At the same time, Gambia (+86.0%) and Zambia (+1.1%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Gambia emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Africa, with a CAGR of +86.0% from 2013-2024. Gambia (+4.6 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the total exports, while the shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, South Africa ($42M) remains the largest bearing supplier in Africa, comprising 78% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Gambia ($4.3M), with a 7.9% share of total exports.

In South Africa, bearing exports plunged by an average annual rate of -2.5% over the period from 2013-2024. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Gambia (+103.0% per year) and Zambia (+2.4% per year).

In 2024, the export price in Africa amounted to $23,549 per ton, rising by 2.1% against the previous year. In general, the export price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 when the export price increased by 18% against the previous year. The level of export peaked in 2024 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2024, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Gambia ($40,403 per ton), while South Africa ($22,138 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Gambia (+9.1%), while the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the export price figures.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the bearing market in Africa. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:

While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.

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